Severe Analysis

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Monday, March 20, 2006

A little snow. Not much!

Many north of a Fredericksburg to Charlottesville line up to Baltimore will see a little snow tomorrow. Ground temps will be warm. Expecting nothing more than a dusting to an inch or so.
 
There could be slightly more near Charlottesville and in the higher elevations.
 
2" would be the max for low elevations and not much will fall in Northern Maryland.
 
Hey.. it is Late March!
 
There is a slight possibility of another storm this weekend that could cause snow.. but I am not very confident in the idea and again higher elevations would see the real threat.
 
We need rain in the region as we are very, very dry!
 
 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Sunday, March 19, 2006

Colder than normal temps + a southern storm= SNOWSTORM POSSIBLE!


Colder than normal temps + a southern storm= SNOWSTORM POSSIBLE!


Summary:  Wow! Here we go with another chance of snow! Anyone remember temps last weekend?  That is right! Give the weather a week and things can chage. The Combining features. A strong 1040MB High (Impressive this time of year) in Canada and a southern storm. So many things work against accumulating snow in areas east of the mountains this time of year!

  1. Warm ground
  2. Warm sun
  3. Long daylight hours
  4. Climatology

 

BUT.. there are exceptions to every situation! And this may be the exception! Right now, the most favored areas are higher elevations, especially north of Charlottesville. Higher elevations could see 3-6” and lower elevations 1-3”. Areas west of I-95 north of Fredericksburg to Charlottesville seem more likely to me than anywhere else to see snow (other than the mountains of course)

 

Longer term appears to remain below normal to near normal temps and continued dry.

 

   

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum. The community has grown to 44 members. http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3/

 

Did you know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to midatlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it mid-atlanticweather-subscribe@yahoogroups.com I am considering a tropical only list as well.

 

Great Host! Vodahost.. 12000 MB of space,  unlimited domains, unlimited email accounts! http://www.vodahost.com?a_aid=0048a41a

 

 

 

Forecast text and graphics from National Weather Service. Mid Atlantic Weather com is not responsible for accuracy of these forecasts and may not be held liable for any damages caused by using this web site. Data may not be current therefore the user agrees to always rely upon official forecast products for their area provided by the National Weather Service.


 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Thursday, March 16, 2006

A little snow after 85 degree weather! Wow!

Later tonight in areas mainly North of Fredericksburg to Charlottesville and west of I-95 may see a bit of snow! Snow could set up in a narrow band and cause heavier accumulations (up to 3" on grassy areas in higher elevations), but mainly a dusting for most who see it.. Road and ground temperatures are pretty warm so this will not cause major issues except maybe some of the higher elevations.
 
Temperatures will remain cool through the weekend and another rain/snow mixing type scenario may unfold next week. That is iffy as of now.
 
85 degree temps to snow in 4 days! Wow!
 
All for now!
 
 
Great School in Northern Virginia. http://www.ambleside.org

Monday, March 13, 2006

Severe Storms Possible and a Switch Back to colder weather =(

Severe Storms Possible Today

 

After a beautiful weekend we will have a strong front coming through the area this evening and overnight. Preceding this front will be record or near record warmth in the mid and upper 80s. The sharp contrast in temperatures is a focus line for strong to severe storms. The biggest threat will be high winds and hail, but isolated tornadoes are not out of the question. The biggest threat time will be between 5pm tonight and 1am tomorrow morning.

 

Unfortunately this is a signal to colder temps for the rest of the week. There is even a chance of some snow Thursday night in parts of the region!

 

All for now.