Severe Analysis

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Wednesday, January 31, 2007

1/31/2007 DC/MD/VA Winter Weather Alert

Sloppy Thursday Night Winter weather will pose problems for many.

A storm system will bring snow over the area Thursday but the system will also bring warmer air in over top the cold air that is in place. This warm air will turn most areas from the mountains east over to a mix of sleet and freezing rain. On the latest model runs the precipitation amounts have backed off somewhat so it is possible the ice will not b major up further north, but the North Carolina Piedmont to the mounts into southwestern Virginia up to about Charlottesville and eastward towards the western Suburbs of Richmond could see ice up to the .25" needed for major issues. The ground is cold too so this time the ice will cause serious driving problems. Ice could reach that much up in areas north of these so all motorists will need to be using caution, but a 1-3" snow may precede the ice as well.

More to Come as things hopefully clear up on the forecast models!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




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Sunday, January 28, 2007

1/28 Mid Atlantic Weather Alert: Isolated accumulations

Scattered Snowshowers this afternoon. Chance of a little accumulation possible in the western Mountains and Far northastern Maryland as well as eastern PA and NJ could see isolated accumulating snows in the 1-3" category.  Pinpointing exactly where is very difficult as it will be on a meso scale level. Elsewhere in areas north of Fredericksburg to a Charlottesville in Virginia and all through Maryland may say enough to dust some grassy areas. The system gives me a bit of concern that a few areas could be surprised by more snow than thought so check radars later today!
 
Late next week Storm looking less likely! Pattern will relax just enough to have a mix or snow to rain scenario based on current model readings!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Friday, January 26, 2007

Concern... but not definite snow possibility for Sunday/Monday

SOME CONCERN: I have some concern of a Sunday Snow shaping up for eastern regions! Cold will also return and maybe a big storm next week. Enjoy a Saturday reprieve from the cold!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Saturday, January 20, 2007

Winter Weather Alert

Snow will Visit Region with 1-3" and mixes as well.

1-3" will fall from a n area north Charlottesville to Fredericksburg line and South of a Frederick county to Baltimore county line. Then a mix will occur from Richmond Southwest to the areas just east of the North Carolina Mountains. It would appear that .10 to .25" of ice is possible, the heaviest in Valleys and areas just east of the Mountains (Up to 40 miles east of Mountains in the Piedmont.)

This is not a huge event, but ice would be an issue for travel. Precip will start later in the morning in the SW and late in the day for the northern parts.

Snow will end as freezing drizzle. Of note, when these storms are ideal some places get some heavier precip so isolated 4-5" totals on snow would not surprise me!

Later next week, POTENTIAL, Really is there for a good snow for parts of the region! I will keep you posted. No time to do a map tonight, MAY have one tomorrow Morning!!!!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Thursday, January 18, 2007

1/18/2007 Winter Weather Alert

Light accumulations of a Mixture of Precip
 
Light Snow, Sleet, and Rain and Freezing Rain will all visit the Regions, but mainly the North Carolina and Southern Virginia regions. The mixture could cause some icing troubles, especially this morning in North Carlina and Southern Virginia as only a small coating of ice could cause havoc. Please stay alert and tuned in to Local News and Radio outlets for updates on your regions weather.
 
There is a possibility of a more significant storm on Sunday Night and again North Carolina and Southern Virginia could be the more problematic spots based on current model read out. This could significantly change between now and Sunday Evening.
 
Stay Alert!
 
All for now!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



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Tuesday, January 09, 2007

Snow Showers Very Possible today!

Snow Showeres becoming more likely today!
A burst of snow shower activity may accompany a vigorous wave of energy this afternoon! Do not be surprised to see rain and snow showers (Moe likely snow in the north and in higher elevations) this afternoon! It will turn breezy as well!
 
This week there has been a pattern shift and that shift could lead to the first significant snow and ice events starting next week! I will keep you posted!
 
All for now!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3


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