DC/MD/VA Icy Mess on Sunday

DC/MD/VA Icy Mess on Sunday

Sleet and Freezing Rain event for the areas of Harrisonburg to just west of Leesburg up to north of Baltimore. Northern Maryland west of 95 closer to the Frederick Maryland area could see a burst of heavy snow before a mix. 1-3" of slop 20 miles either side of the line discussed, but the heavy snow areas could see 2-4" with isolated 6"

A mix is possible all the way down to Richmond and west to Roanoke with areas just east of teh Mountains seeing the most whereas most areas will see a switch to plain rain along the I-95 corridor . Draw a line from Roanoke up to Charlottesville and straight up to Dulles Airport to BWI and areas east of this should see a change over early enough to be a nuisance. The Immediate valleys of the Apps up to Charlottesville will see enough for storm warning criteria.

All I have for now!

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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SLEETY/ICY MESS for Northern VA up through Marylyand and PA snows

Sorry I have been delayed on posting.. it does appear that a Moderate Icing event will unfold Early Sunday morning. A mixture of first snow, then sleet and freezing rain will visit the region again. There is a possibility of moderate icing! Much about this storm could change and there are hints at some colder air at start which could mean some real snow, but right now, sleet and freezing rain look to be the main precip type. The main locations again will be 20 miles either side of a line from just north of Charlottesville to just west of Leesburg, northeast up to Baltimore County in Maryland stretching up to Philadelphia. Snow is possible North of these areas in Maryland, but especially Pennsylvania. 

 

Much more to be considered and more details tomorrow!

 

Again, this is for Sunday, though freezing drizzle could be occurring Sunday night into Monday morning.

 

All for now!

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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2/13 - 2/14 Final Maps Posted

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WINTER STORM APPROACHING

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Ice will be a serious issue especially west of the I-95 Corridor. Center line would be just north of Charlottesville to Leesburg to Central Baltimore County Maryland and Northern Hartford. Areas 15 miles either side of this line COULD see a .4 to .8" icing on 2-4" of snow. Further N and W in Maryland and up into Southern PA will see 4-8" with sleet and some Freezing rain. Further north, 12"+

Snow and rain mix is breaking out now in Northern half of Virginia.

Some indications to a wrap around quick snow shot at the end.

See Final maps at Mid Atlantic Weather site or in the Forum which grew by 21 members in the last few days! WOW!

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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2/12 ICY MESS ON TAP! SNOW AMOUNTS REDUCED

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SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM POSSIBLE

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Well, with models and an imperfect science it is hard to get forecasting right! Here we go with what appears to be a major Icing Event the majority of which looks like it will be Tuesday Night into Wednesday. For tonight into tomorrow light snow with a general 1-4" accumulation could occur from a Roanoke to Charlttesville to Fredericksburg to Baltimore line and areas 20 miles south and east of that line. Some mixing with rain is likely at onset. Tuesday would be a light snow changing to sleet and even rain for Roanoke to Fredericksburg to south and east of Baltimore. Areas from Charlottesville to Washington DC to Baltimore will see a changeover to sleet and then Freezing rain Tuesday evening as heavier precipitation takes hold. Right now the distinct possibility exists for as much as 3/4" to even 1" of ice! The issue will be.. is it sleet or freezing rain. The further north and west may split totals between sleet and freezing rain, but 20 miles either side of and north of the Charlottesville to Washington DC to Baltimore areas could see a significant Ice Storm!

Please stay tuned to Media and Weather Outlets.

Sorry, no time to draw out thoughts this morning on a map.

BTW.. thing ** COULD ** change as we are still a ways away from the main storm system. I will be watching trends and reporting on them especially in the Forum.

All for now!

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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2/11 FIRST GUESS POSTED

In general, this looks like a serious storm, but most of Virginia and NC will be spared the winter threat. Snow to start in the DC area and down to Carlottesville, followed by a serious Ice threat. N and W of DC and in Western Maryland and north, a serious snow threat.

 

Map can be found on the website!

 

OF NOTE: Latest model runs seem to imply less snow and more icing or even rain threat! Realize this is a Guess at this point!

 

Will TRY and get a new map out early tomorrow. MAY not be able to provide anything other than analysis beyont that until tomorrow night! By that time, the storm will be on the doorstep!

 

The Forum has been active with 11 new members this weekend. A Pro meteorologist is also posting some thoughts! feel free to join in on the thoughts!

 

All for now!

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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2/11 HEAVY WINTER STORM TUESDAY

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HEAVY SNOW STORM WITH POSSIBLE ICING

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Things are lining up for a major Winter Storm. Especially  north of Fredericksburg . Areas could see up to a foot and some places more especially in Maryland. MANY factors could change who get the biggest snows and even ice storm possibilities. Best Chances seem to be Washington, DC to Charlottesville and north as well as up to Baltimore and North. Ice could really become an issue in the transition area.

This one is a serious one. Please stay tuned to radio and news outlets.

More to come!

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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2/6 Light Snow event tonight will ALL stick!

Light Snow Tonight!

 

A light snow event tonight will drop a 1-3" swath of snow mainly cutting across the central part of Virginia. Light snow will quickly stick to all surfaces though as the ground and roads are so cold. Areas draw a line horizontal from Roanoke to Richmond and then from Charlottesville to Fredericksburg and the areas between and along those lines have the best chance of the 3" totals. Areas north of that line will see totals back off to 1" in Northern VA and a dusting in Maryland, and south will quickly drop to just a dusting.

 

Despite this, the very cold ground could make tomorrow morning the worst winter weather commute we have had this winter! Be careful!

 

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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2/1 Winter Weather Threat: Canceled!

MAYBE some pockets in SW Va and western Piedmont south of Charottesville but by and large just spotty showers, some snow, some sleet. This one was not too big (at least up in VA) but was for western NC and SC!

 

Sorry all! Yes, there is another storm possible in about 1 week! we will see! The real story, VERY COLD next week!

 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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2/1 DC/MD/VA Winter Weather Alert

2 waves of precipitation, Snow to a mix, but maybe a good amount of snow for Higher elevations in SW VA

 

North of Roanoke in the Mountains towards SW VA and Northeast up to just SW of Charlottesville could see the most snow with 3-6" shot.

 

Areas along I-95 to 30 miles east, 1-2" then a mix. Precip amounts could approach Winter Storm warning of .25" along I-95 and west up to about Ashland.

 

1-3" of Snow north of here along I-95 up to Baltimore and ares 20 miles either side of I-95. Again, a mix tomorrow night.

 

1-4" west of the I-95 area from Western Loudoun and Frederick Count MD above down to Charlottesville. Closer to 4" in the southern areas of that region, less towards the MD/VA Border.

 

Models are split tonight! Thus the larger ranges. This one has some surprise potential especially looking at the large snow sheild on Radar.

 

Tweaking likely tomorrow, but light snow may overspread most of the area by morning in the south and by noon, Nortehrn VA and by 3pm in Maryland.

 

All for now!

 

 
 

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3

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