Severe Analysis

  | | | | | |  
SPC Products Overview

Thursday, March 15, 2007

3/15 DC/MD/VA Accumulating Snows are Possible

Accumulating Snows are Possible
 
Accumulating Snows are possible in Areas West of Washington DC up to Baltimore tomorrow night. Areas could see 1-4" with higher totals in the higher elevations. 
 
This will come after a very heavy rainfall and warm ground temperatures should offset some of the total potentials!
 
This could change, but it may actually become a snowier forecast than a less snowy one!
 
All for now!
 
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Don't get soaked. Take a quick peek at the forecast
with theYahoo! Search weather shortcut.

Tuesday, March 06, 2007

WInter Weather Alert: 1-3" more likely

After reviewing forecasting models this morning I have lowered my totals to a general 1-3" in the area immediate and just to the west and north of the Washington DC, to Baltimore Maryland line. Some areas may see up to 4", but the general rule will be 1-2 inches with isolated 3 inch amounts. It still will be snowing during the morning commute and the ground has really cooled due to temps in the teens and lower 20s last night. Trace amount north of Charlottesville to Fredericksburg up to the DC metro area
 
Stay tuned!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Be a PS3 game guru.
Get your game face on with the latest PS3 news and previews at Yahoo! Games.

Monday, March 05, 2007

Winter Weather Alert! Winter is not over! 2-4" snows Possible Wednesday!

A moderate snow of 2-4 inches is possible accross Maryland and Far Northern Virginia on Wednesday! 1-3" is possible North of Fredericksburg up to Washington DC. In th DC area 2-4" is possible and maybe up to 3-5" for Maryland. Snow will fall during the Wednesday Morning commute!
 
Things could change so stay tuned!
 
I thought winter was about done too! Go figure!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Bored stiff? Loosen up...
Download and play hundreds of games for free on Yahoo! Games.

Friday, March 02, 2007

Severe Weather still possible Southeastern VA

I have been behind the ball here, but the NWS has posted a Tornado Watch for Southeastern VA and Eastern North Carolina through 11am! There is a line of convection down that way too! Please stay alert to radio and news outlets!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




Never miss an email again!
Yahoo! Toolbar
alerts you the instant new Mail arrives. Check it out.

Saturday, February 24, 2007

DC/MD/VA Icy Mess on Sunday

DC/MD/VA Icy Mess on Sunday

Sleet and Freezing Rain event for the areas of Harrisonburg to just west of Leesburg up to north of Baltimore. Northern Maryland west of 95 closer to the Frederick Maryland area could see a burst of heavy snow before a mix. 1-3" of slop 20 miles either side of the line discussed, but the heavy snow areas could see 2-4" with isolated 6"

A mix is possible all the way down to Richmond and west to Roanoke with areas just east of teh Mountains seeing the most whereas most areas will see a switch to plain rain along the I-95 corridor . Draw a line from Roanoke up to Charlottesville and straight up to Dulles Airport to BWI and areas east of this should see a change over early enough to be a nuisance. The Immediate valleys of the Apps up to Charlottesville will see enough for storm warning criteria.

All I have for now!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




Any questions? Get answers on any topic at Yahoo! Answers. Try it now.

Friday, February 23, 2007

SLEETY/ICY MESS for Northern VA up through Marylyand and PA snows

Sorry I have been delayed on posting.. it does appear that a Moderate Icing event will unfold Early Sunday morning. A mixture of first snow, then sleet and freezing rain will visit the region again. There is a possibility of moderate icing! Much about this storm could change and there are hints at some colder air at start which could mean some real snow, but right now, sleet and freezing rain look to be the main precip type. The main locations again will be 20 miles either side of a line from just north of Charlottesville to just west of Leesburg, northeast up to Baltimore County in Maryland stretching up to Philadelphia. Snow is possible North of these areas in Maryland, but especially Pennsylvania. 
 
Much more to be considered and more details tomorrow!
 
Again, this is for Sunday, though freezing drizzle could be occurring Sunday night into Monday morning.
 
All for now!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Don't pick lemons.
See all the new 2007 cars at Yahoo! Autos.

Monday, February 12, 2007

2/13 - 2/14 Final Maps Posted


WINTER STORM APPROACHING

Ice will be a serious issue especially west of the I-95 Corridor. Center line would be just north of Charlottesville to Leesburg to Central Baltimore County Maryland and Northern Hartford. Areas 15 miles either side of this line COULD see a .4 to .8" icing on 2-4" of snow. Further N and W in Maryland and up into Southern PA will see 4-8" with sleet and some Freezing rain. Further north, 12"+

Snow and rain mix is breaking out now in Northern half of Virginia.

Some indications to a wrap around quick snow shot at the end.

See Final maps at Mid Atlantic Weather site or in the Forum which grew by 21 members in the last few days! WOW!

Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




Any questions? Get answers on any topic at Yahoo! Answers. Try it now.

2/12 ICY MESS ON TAP! SNOW AMOUNTS REDUCED


SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM POSSIBLE

Well, with models and an imperfect science it is hard to get forecasting right! Here we go with what appears to be a major Icing Event the majority of which looks like it will be Tuesday Night into Wednesday. For tonight into tomorrow light snow with a general 1-4" accumulation could occur from a Roanoke to Charlttesville to Fredericksburg to Baltimore line and areas 20 miles south and east of that line. Some mixing with rain is likely at onset. Tuesday would be a light snow changing to sleet and even rain for Roanoke to Fredericksburg to south and east of Baltimore. Areas from Charlottesville to Washington DC to Baltimore will see a changeover to sleet and then Freezing rain Tuesday evening as heavier precipitation takes hold. Right now the distinct possibility exists for as much as 3/4" to even 1" of ice! The issue will be.. is it sleet or freezing rain. The further north and west may split totals between sleet and freezing rain, but 20 miles either side of and north of the Charlottesville to Washington DC to Baltimore areas could see a significant Ice Storm!

Please stay tuned to Media and Weather Outlets.

Sorry, no time to draw out thoughts this morning on a map.

BTW.. thing ** COULD ** change as we are still a ways away from the main storm system. I will be watching trends and reporting on them especially in the Forum.

All for now!


 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




Finding fabulous fares is fun.
Let Yahoo! FareChase search your favorite travel sites to find flight and hotel bargains.

Sunday, February 11, 2007

2/11 FIRST GUESS POSTED

In general, this looks like a serious storm, but most of Virginia and NC will be spared the winter threat. Snow to start in the DC area and down to Carlottesville, followed by a serious Ice threat. N and W of DC and in Western Maryland and north, a serious snow threat.
 
Map can be found on the website!
 
OF NOTE: Latest model runs seem to imply less snow and more icing or even rain threat! Realize this is a Guess at this point!
 
Will TRY and get a new map out early tomorrow. MAY not be able to provide anything other than analysis beyont that until tomorrow night! By that time, the storm will be on the doorstep!
 
The Forum has been active with 11 new members this weekend. A Pro meteorologist is also posting some thoughts! feel free to join in on the thoughts!
 
All for now!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Have a burning question? Go to Yahoo! Answers and get answers from real people who know.

2/11 HEAVY WINTER STORM TUESDAY


HEAVY SNOW STORM WITH POSSIBLE ICING

Things are lining up for a major Winter Storm. Especially  north of Fredericksburg . Areas could see up to a foot and some places more especially in Maryland. MANY factors could change who get the biggest snows and even ice storm possibilities. Best Chances seem to be Washington, DC to Charlottesville and north as well as up to Baltimore and North. Ice could really become an issue in the transition area.

This one is a serious one. Please stay tuned to radio and news outlets.

More to come!


Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




Get your own web address.
Have a HUGE year through Yahoo! Small Business.

Tuesday, February 06, 2007

2/6 Light Snow event tonight will ALL stick!

Light Snow Tonight!
 
A light snow event tonight will drop a 1-3" swath of snow mainly cutting across the central part of Virginia. Light snow will quickly stick to all surfaces though as the ground and roads are so cold. Areas draw a line horizontal from Roanoke to Richmond and then from Charlottesville to Fredericksburg and the areas between and along those lines have the best chance of the 3" totals. Areas north of that line will see totals back off to 1" in Northern VA and a dusting in Maryland, and south will quickly drop to just a dusting.
 
Despite this, the very cold ground could make tomorrow morning the worst winter weather commute we have had this winter! Be careful!
 

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Expecting? Get great news right away with email Auto-Check.
Try the Yahoo! Mail Beta.

Thursday, February 01, 2007

2/1 Winter Weather Threat: Canceled!

MAYBE some pockets in SW Va and western Piedmont south of Charottesville but by and large just spotty showers, some snow, some sleet. This one was not too big (at least up in VA) but was for western NC and SC!
 
Sorry all! Yes, there is another storm possible in about 1 week! we will see! The real story, VERY COLD next week!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



TV dinner still cooling?
Check out "Tonight's Picks" on Yahoo! TV.

2/1 DC/MD/VA Winter Weather Alert

2 waves of precipitation, Snow to a mix, but maybe a good amount of snow for Higher elevations in SW VA
 
North of Roanoke in the Mountains towards SW VA and Northeast up to just SW of Charlottesville could see the most snow with 3-6" shot.
 
Areas along I-95 to 30 miles east, 1-2" then a mix. Precip amounts could approach Winter Storm warning of .25" along I-95 and west up to about Ashland.
 
1-3" of Snow north of here along I-95 up to Baltimore and ares 20 miles either side of I-95. Again, a mix tomorrow night.
 
1-4" west of the I-95 area from Western Loudoun and Frederick Count MD above down to Charlottesville. Closer to 4" in the southern areas of that region, less towards the MD/VA Border.
 
Models are split tonight! Thus the larger ranges. This one has some surprise potential especially looking at the large snow sheild on Radar.
 
Tweaking likely tomorrow, but light snow may overspread most of the area by morning in the south and by noon, Nortehrn VA and by 3pm in Maryland.
 
All for now!
 
 
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



It's here! Your new message!
Get new email alerts with the free Yahoo! Toolbar.

Wednesday, January 31, 2007

1/31/2007 DC/MD/VA Winter Weather Alert

Sloppy Thursday Night Winter weather will pose problems for many.

A storm system will bring snow over the area Thursday but the system will also bring warmer air in over top the cold air that is in place. This warm air will turn most areas from the mountains east over to a mix of sleet and freezing rain. On the latest model runs the precipitation amounts have backed off somewhat so it is possible the ice will not b major up further north, but the North Carolina Piedmont to the mounts into southwestern Virginia up to about Charlottesville and eastward towards the western Suburbs of Richmond could see ice up to the .25" needed for major issues. The ground is cold too so this time the ice will cause serious driving problems. Ice could reach that much up in areas north of these so all motorists will need to be using caution, but a 1-3" snow may precede the ice as well.

More to Come as things hopefully clear up on the forecast models!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




Bored stiff? Loosen up...
Download and play hundreds of games for free on Yahoo! Games.

Sunday, January 28, 2007

1/28 Mid Atlantic Weather Alert: Isolated accumulations

Scattered Snowshowers this afternoon. Chance of a little accumulation possible in the western Mountains and Far northastern Maryland as well as eastern PA and NJ could see isolated accumulating snows in the 1-3" category.  Pinpointing exactly where is very difficult as it will be on a meso scale level. Elsewhere in areas north of Fredericksburg to a Charlottesville in Virginia and all through Maryland may say enough to dust some grassy areas. The system gives me a bit of concern that a few areas could be surprised by more snow than thought so check radars later today!
 
Late next week Storm looking less likely! Pattern will relax just enough to have a mix or snow to rain scenario based on current model readings!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Looking for earth-friendly autos?
Browse Top Cars by "Green Rating" at Yahoo! Autos' Green Center.

Friday, January 26, 2007

Concern... but not definite snow possibility for Sunday/Monday

SOME CONCERN: I have some concern of a Sunday Snow shaping up for eastern regions! Cold will also return and maybe a big storm next week. Enjoy a Saturday reprieve from the cold!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Don't pick lemons.
See all the new 2007 cars at Yahoo! Autos.

Saturday, January 20, 2007

Winter Weather Alert

Snow will Visit Region with 1-3" and mixes as well.

1-3" will fall from a n area north Charlottesville to Fredericksburg line and South of a Frederick county to Baltimore county line. Then a mix will occur from Richmond Southwest to the areas just east of the North Carolina Mountains. It would appear that .10 to .25" of ice is possible, the heaviest in Valleys and areas just east of the Mountains (Up to 40 miles east of Mountains in the Piedmont.)

This is not a huge event, but ice would be an issue for travel. Precip will start later in the morning in the SW and late in the day for the northern parts.

Snow will end as freezing drizzle. Of note, when these storms are ideal some places get some heavier precip so isolated 4-5" totals on snow would not surprise me!

Later next week, POTENTIAL, Really is there for a good snow for parts of the region! I will keep you posted. No time to do a map tonight, MAY have one tomorrow Morning!!!!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Finding fabulous fares is fun.
Let Yahoo! FareChase search your favorite travel sites to find flight and hotel bargains.

Thursday, January 18, 2007

1/18/2007 Winter Weather Alert

Light accumulations of a Mixture of Precip
 
Light Snow, Sleet, and Rain and Freezing Rain will all visit the Regions, but mainly the North Carolina and Southern Virginia regions. The mixture could cause some icing troubles, especially this morning in North Carlina and Southern Virginia as only a small coating of ice could cause havoc. Please stay alert and tuned in to Local News and Radio outlets for updates on your regions weather.
 
There is a possibility of a more significant storm on Sunday Night and again North Carolina and Southern Virginia could be the more problematic spots based on current model read out. This could significantly change between now and Sunday Evening.
 
Stay Alert!
 
All for now!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3



Don't be flakey. Get Yahoo! Mail for Mobile and
always stay connected to friends.

Tuesday, January 09, 2007

Snow Showers Very Possible today!

Snow Showeres becoming more likely today!
A burst of snow shower activity may accompany a vigorous wave of energy this afternoon! Do not be surprised to see rain and snow showers (Moe likely snow in the north and in higher elevations) this afternoon! It will turn breezy as well!
 
This week there has been a pattern shift and that shift could lead to the first significant snow and ice events starting next week! I will keep you posted!
 
All for now!
 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3


__________________________________________________
Do You Yahoo!?
Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around
http://mail.yahoo.com

Thursday, December 07, 2006

12/7 First Snow Flakes not out of the Question today

Just wanted to give people a heads up that this afternoon and evening may bring with it some snow showers, especially the further north you are. The western Slopes of the Mountains will see their first significant snows (3-6") and the higher Blue Ridge could see an inch or so.. the areas east of the mountains may also see their first few flakes. Longer term after a quick very cold shot tonight and tomorrow, a warmer/milder trend appears to be coming during next week!

All for now!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




Access over 1 million songs - Yahoo! Music Unlimited.